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Jerad Brereton

Loan Originator |NMLS 1769648

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Meet Jerad!

As your trusted UMortgage Loan Originator, my goal is to simplify the mortgage process to make your home loan experience easy to navigate! Please reach out so I can help start your home financing journey.

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Housing Market Update | Week of September 29th

Mortgage rates were largely unchanged throughout the week. Friday’s PCE inflation report came in just in line with economists’ expectations. Core PCE, which excludes food & energy and is closely watched by the Fed, rose 0.2% for the month and held steady at 2.9% year-over-year. This ultimately left mortgage rates unchanged between the start of the week and the end. This week is jobs week, with several pivotal labor reports scheduled to be released between Tuesday and Friday. As we’ve maintained throughout the year, the labor market will dictate how many rate cuts we get; for rates to drop, we need to see job growth continue to stall, especially in Friday’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) jobs report. One thing to watch is a potential government shutdown this week, which, if it occurs, would delay the release of Friday’s report. Last Week's Mortgage Rate Recap Rates Were Steady Last week’s biggest piece of market-moving data was Friday’s PCE inflation report. The Fed has a dual mandate to maintain a healthy labor market and keep inflation under control; Friday’s report showed headline inflation rose by 0.3% in August, which was in line with economists’ forecasts. Without any data-driven red flags, the 10-year dropped slightly heading into the weekend, and mortgage rates stayed within the tight range where they started the week. This Week's Mortgage Rate Forecast Rates Could Be Volatile We have a busy week ahead. It’s jobs week, and this batch of labor reports will be pivotal to the Fed’s decision for or against cutting rates during its Fed Meeting in the last week of October. As always, Friday’s BLS employment report will have the most significant impact on mortgage rates and the 10-year Treasury, but the reports we receive between Tuesday and Thursday could also cause some movement. Here’s the schedule for the week ahead: Tuesday: Job Openings, Losses, and Turnover Survey (JOLTS) Wednesday: ADP Employment Report Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims Friday: BLS Jobs Report One potential wrinkle for this week’s labor data will be the potential government shutdown. If an agreement cannot be met by Wednesday’s deadline, the impending government shutdown would prevent the release of Friday’s BLS report. In the past, government shutdowns have sent the 10-year lower, but the longer-term implications depend on the length of the shutdown if one were to happen. All that to say, it’s a big week for mortgage rates! If you have any questions or would like a quick update as the data rolls in, follow this link to connect with a mortgage expert near you!

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Red Flags in Lending: Mortgage Points

Imagine this: you’re shopping for a mortgage and see one lender advertising a rate that looks way better than the others. You’re excited, until you find out the fine print. That “too good to be true” rate often comes with thousands of dollars in extra fees to secure that rate, known as mortgage points, added to your closing costs. Unless you know how to spot them, you might be walking into a loan that costs you far more than you planned. The truth is that mortgage points aren’t always a bad thing; they can be a smart financial tool in the right situation. But when lenders advertise them without explaining the cost, it’s a red flag that can leave buyers with sticker shock at the closing table. So, in this blog, we’ll explain what it means to buy down your rate, how to spot whether you’re being charged points before you commit to your mortgage, and some situations where you might want to buy down your rate. What Does It Mean to Buy Down Your Mortgage Rate? Buy down points, also known as mortgage points or discount points, are prepaid interest fees that allow you to lower your interest rate. Typically: 1 point = 1% of the loan amount Each point lowers your rate by about 0.25% For example, on a $400,000 loan, one point would cost you $4,000 and reduce your rate by about 0.25%. To lower your rate by a full percentage point, you may be looking at an upfront cost of $16,000. This is precisely why it can be dangerous to take the flashy interest rate you were offered without reading the fine print. Check out our guide covering the Basics of Rate Buydowns for a deeper dive. How to Spot Buy Down Points on Your Mortgage’s Loan Estimate If you want to know whether the “advertised rate” includes points, look closely at Page 2 of your Loan Estimate. Under Section A: Origination Charges, look for a line that says “___% of Loan Amount (Points).” The dollar amount listed there tells you exactly how much you’re paying for points. This quick check helps you see through the marketing and compare offers on an apples-to-apples basis. Read this blog for more tips to understand the fine print of your loan estimate. When You Might Want to Buy Down Your Mortgage Rate While mortgage points might seem deceiving at times, they aren’t always a trap. In the right situations, they can actually help you save money over time. Here are a few cases where it might make sense: Permanent buydown (long-term homeowners): If you plan to stay in your home for many years, paying up front to reduce your rate could save you more in the long run. Temporary buydown (short-term relief): A 2-1 or 3-2-1 buydown lowers your payments for the first couple of years. This is helpful if you expect your income to grow or plan to refinance soon. When someone else is paying: If a seller, builder, or even your lender offers concessions or credits, using them for a rate buydown can be a great deal. “Buydowns are not a one-size-fits-all solution, but they can be a great option for several reasons,” says Matt Gouge, a UMortgage Loan Originator. “Especially now, a high-interest-rate environment favors a buy-down. Affordability is an issue in a lot of markets, so buy-downs are a great transition from somebody who’s renting for $2,500 to swallowing the pill of a $3,800 mortgage.” Why You Might Not Want to Buy Down Your Mortgage Rate On the other hand, points aren’t always worth it. Here’s why: High upfront costs: Especially on larger loans, points can add tens of thousands to your closing costs. Short-term homeowners: If you plan to move in a few years, you may not save enough each month to recoup the upfront costs. False advertising: Some lenders use low advertised rates that only exist because of costly points. When you finally see your Loan Estimate, you realize your cash due at closing is way higher than expected. That’s why it’s so important to review your Loan Estimate carefully and work with a lender who explains the whole picture. Advice for Homebuyers: Focus on the Numbers That Matter Mortgage points aren’t inherently good or bad. It’s about whether they make sense for your situation. The key is transparency. A trustworthy Loan Originator will show you not just the rate, but also the cash due at closing and your monthly payment. Those are the two numbers that matter most when deciding on a mortgage. “Not everyone who buys a home is a financial expert,” continued Gougé. “When you look through your loan estimate, I always show my buyers the numbers that affect them the most: the purchase price, the monthly payment, and the cash to close. That’s what matters.” At UMortgage, our Loan Originators guide you through every option so you can decide whether points are worth it, without surprises. Fill out this form to get connected with a Loan Originator near you who will help you achieve your homeownership dreams without burning a hole in your pocket.

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How the Federal Reserve Impacts Mortgage Rates (And How It Doesn't)

If you’ve been watching the news lately, you’ve probably seen a lot of headlines about the Federal Reserve and interest rates. And if you're a homebuyer or a real estate agent working with buyers, you might wonder: Does the Federal Reserve control mortgage rates? It’s a great question. And the short answer is: Not necessarily. The longer answer is a bit more nuanced because while the Fed does play an important role in the economy, it doesn't directly control mortgage rates. What Is the Federal Reserve and the Federal Funds Rate? The Federal Reserve, often referred to simply as the Fed, is the central bank of the United States. Its primary job is to keep the economy healthy by keeping inflation in check, supporting the labor economy, and promoting stable & sustainable economic growth. One of the main tools the Fed uses to manage the economy is the Federal Funds Rate. This is the interest rate banks charge one another for overnight loans. While consumers don’t pay this rate directly, it has a ripple effect across the economy, influencing rates on credit cards, auto loans, and savings accounts. How the Federal Funds Rate Influences the Economy When the Fed raises the Federal Funds Rate, it becomes more expensive for banks to borrow money. That tends to result in higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses in an attempt to slow down inflation and prevent the economy from overheating. When the Fed lowers the rate, borrowing becomes cheaper. This encourages more spending and investment, often a strategy used during economic slowdowns or recessions. Important distinction: The Federal Funds Rate influences the economy, but it does not directly control mortgage rates. Why Mortgage Rates Don’t Always Follow the Fed Here’s where a lot of confusion begins. Many people assume that when the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates automatically rise too. But that’s not how it works. Mortgage rates are driven by a different set of economic factors, mainly the bond market. Specifically, rates are closely tied to the 10-year Treasury yield and the performance of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Investors who buy these securities care most about the labor market, inflation, the long-term economic outlook, and market stability/instability If inflation is rising or expected to rise, mortgage rates tend to increase. If economic conditions appear weak or uncertain, rates can fall, even if the Fed is raising the Federal Funds Rate. In fact, mortgage rates often move in anticipation of what the Fed might do, not just in response to what it has done. The markets are always looking ahead. What Really Drives Mortgage Rates? Here’s a quick snapshot of the major factors that impact mortgage rates: Inflation: Higher inflation usually = higher mortgage rates. Economic Growth: A strong economy can lead to higher rates. Global Events: Uncertainty (like geopolitical conflict or pandemics) can drive rates lower. Bond Market Demand: More demand for mortgage bonds often = lower mortgage rates. In other words, mortgage rates are influenced by a wide range of factors and are always forward-looking. Want more in-depth analysis of the housing market? Check out our weekly Housing Market Update blog. How Homebuyers and Real Estate Can Navigate the Market For homebuyers and the real estate agents supporting them, the key takeaway is this: Don’t assume that a Fed rate cut means mortgage rates are going down. In some cases, mortgage rates don’t move much on the day that the Fed cuts rates. Most of the time, they will drop in the lead-up to a Fed Meeting if a rate cut is expected. Other times, they might drop after a Fed announcement, depending on how markets interpret the economic outlook. If you’re considering buying a home or are an agent for a hesitant buyer, here’s how you should navigate periods of market instability: Focus on personal goals and timing, rather than trying to time the market. Work with a knowledgeable mortgage professional who can explain how market shifts impact your unique situation. Make informed decisions based on the bigger picture, not just headlines. Whether you're buying, selling, or considering a refinance, UMortgage Loan Originators are here to help you navigate the market with confidence and leverage homeownership to build wealth. If you’re curious about your homebuying or refinance options and want expert guidance, fill out this form to get connected with a UMortgage Loan Originator in your area!

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